The Expansion Effect
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The teenager was not a faster horse
We're arguing about how big AI will be. The last 100 years say that's the wrong question.
Jun 25
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Joseph Logan
4
10
3
The Productivity J-Curve
Why we see AI everywhere except in the economic data—and when that will change.
Jun 18
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Joseph Logan
6
4
The Abstraction Layer
AI will create new work. "When" matters more than "what".
Jun 17
•
Joseph Logan
5
7
2
The Timing Gap
AI job displacement for June 2026 and the reality of jobs and productivity.
Jun 16
•
Joseph Logan
3
5
May 2026
AI Job Displacement - May 2026
Record growth + record cuts is no longer a contradiction in the model. It is the model.
May 13
•
Joseph Logan
5
4
Here's what will replace the paycheck.
What UBI, Universal Basic Services, and citizen-equity warrants miss.
May 6
•
Joseph Logan
11
12
April 2026
The Job Is the Container, Not the Work
Part 1 of 4: What's changing isn't the work. It's the thing the work has been kept in.
Apr 30
•
Joseph Logan
7
7
2
The predictions are wrong*
Introducing a level-headed set of three-year forecasts on work, life, and business.
Apr 28
•
Joseph Logan
10
7
1
AI Job Displacement - April 2026
The March report looked strong. What it measured didn't.
Apr 15
•
Joseph Logan
8
7
3
How to help a human
Taking a moment to pause and reflect on this moment.
Apr 1
•
Joseph Logan
8
5
March 2026
The Evaporation Thesis
How jobs disappear from the inside out. And what they become.
Mar 25
•
Joseph Logan
5
10
What coaching's numbers are hiding
Everyone in coaching is reading the same report. Almost no one is reading it right.
Mar 23
•
Joseph Logan
12
1
1
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