The Expansion Effect

The Expansion Effect

The Timing Valley

The real story on jobs one year after “The Last Normal Year”.

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Joseph Logan
Aug 12, 2026
∙ Paid

A year ago we published a projection most people still found hard to believe. The consensus put meaningful AI-related job displacement three to five years out. The data, read through the causal chain, said the window would open in Q1 2026 and that the first visible effects would arrive faster and more quietly than the classic layoff story suggested. Our…

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