5 Comments
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Jeff Hassemer's avatar

Interesting take. I think the biggest shift isn’t just job loss, it’s how fast expectations are changing… same roles but now you’re expected to do more with AI.

Joseph Logan's avatar

Thank you, Jeff. I expect the shift in expectations will continue to accelerate, but it’s the container of the role itself that’s likely to see the most change. I’m projecting we’ll reach 50% fractional sometime in the first quarter of 2027. That’s a massive cultural change that’s loading up really quickly, and I have a lot of questions about what that means for identity, purpose, etc.

Martin Alen's avatar

Great work Joseph.

Seems from all aspects, what increasingly matters is current intent not historical exhaust.

- Who is actually available.

- Who wants what kind of work.

- Under what constraints.

- For how long.

- At what trade-offs.

etc...

That may be the real structural shift beneath the displacement debate.

Build on sand, expect to SHIFT!

Joseph Logan's avatar

I think that’s right, with a few caveats:

I believe the unbundling of traditional full-time employment is a near certainty in a much sooner timeframe than one might think.

If your job is 15-20 workflows, some will certainly get automated or augmented. Others rely on discernment, orchestration, etc.

We’ve bundled jobs for market efficiency—previously too difficult to buy them one by one.

This looks to me like a different market for work that doesn’t require the full-time bundle anymore.

We’ll need some way to connect those who need those workflows (mostly companies, but not necessarily) with those who offer them (not likely in a traditional full-time job bundle).

There’s a new market for work and contribution shaping up.

Martin Alen's avatar

Well, if you Jumpsuiters might want some help building your solution, let's have a chat...